BJP’s loss in Karnataka marks the second time since May 2019 that it has lost a significant state, except Maharashtra, where it was in power, raising questions about the party’s performance. Comparing the loss to other states, the BJP’s Karnataka loss is the smallest in terms of change in seat share and vote share, except in Jharkhand. The Congress’s gains in Karnataka are impressive compared to other elections, offering parliamentary comfort for the party. However, the Congress must perform well in forthcoming elections in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh to capitalize on this fact.

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